Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.068671 0.076086 0.084216 0.093836 0.104964 0.117501 0.132789
2024-10-13 0.055907 0.065566 0.077003 0.091712 0.110377 0.133622 0.165325
2024-10-20 0.048604 0.059580 0.073391 0.092412 0.118538 0.154121 0.208037
2024-10-27 0.042841 0.054349 0.069541 0.091661 0.124125 0.171927 0.251662
2024-11-03 0.039105 0.051094 0.067594 0.092840 0.132216 0.194648 0.309211
2024-11-10 0.036115 0.048389 0.065897 0.093879 0.139990 0.218326 0.376064
2024-11-17 0.033306 0.045564 0.063581 0.093466 0.145130 0.238509 0.443599
2024-11-24 0.031302 0.043668 0.062368 0.094518 0.152785 0.264915 0.534808
2024-12-01 0.029592 0.042020 0.061308 0.095588 0.160549 0.293424 0.644357
2024-12-08 0.028050 0.040471 0.060206 0.096369 0.167829 0.322837 0.772223
2024-12-15 0.026529 0.038811 0.058732 0.096237 0.173207 0.349494 0.908668
2024-12-22 0.024988 0.036988 0.056796 0.094971 0.175947 0.370659 1.042172
2024-12-29 0.024086 0.036166 0.056540 0.096960 0.186351 0.415245 1.299078
2025-01-05 0.022697 0.034428 0.054518 0.095215 0.188007 0.437076 1.487897
2025-01-12 0.021821 0.033498 0.053860 0.096153 0.196229 0.481072 1.829757
2025-01-19 0.020802 0.032245 0.052499 0.095444 0.200277 0.514076 2.162782
2025-01-26 0.020123 0.031540 0.052093 0.096724 0.209723 0.569067 2.722789
2025-02-02 0.019476 0.030844 0.051639 0.097836 0.219007 0.628230 3.446558
2025-02-09 0.018703 0.029870 0.050565 0.097406 0.223937 0.673772 4.186763
2025-02-16 0.018154 0.029270 0.050178 0.098521 0.233645 0.744268 5.419491
2025-02-23 0.017644 0.028708 0.049817 0.099652 0.243730 0.823019 7.133167
2025-03-02 0.017137 0.028120 0.049355 0.100478 0.253124 0.905331 9.445130
2025-03-09 0.016573 0.027391 0.048544 0.100339 0.259397 0.976962 12.200625